For each PGA Tour event, we’ll rank the top 10 players by odds to win, based on a weighted model, shape and course fit. Along the way, we’ll highlight some of our favorite bets.
This week, the tour heads down the coast to Hilton Head Island for the RBC Legacy at Harbor Town.
This week: RBC Heritage
- Date: April 16-19, 2026
- Location: Hilton Head Island, South Carolina
- Course: Port City Golf Links
- How to watch: CBS, Golf Channel, ESPN+
- Purse: $20,000,000
- Defending Champion: Justin Thomas
What skills does the course reward?
The RBC Legacy has been played after the Masters in April almost every year since 1983. Playing as a par 71 at about 7,100 yards, Harbor Town is a classic design by Pete Dye in 1967 with fairways lined with trees and small greens.
Once one of the weakest fields on the PGA Tour with top players resting after Augusta, the RBC Legacy is now a special event with a $20 million purse and no cut featuring most of the world’s best players.
Harbor Town is a shorter yard course, but it doesn’t actually play as short as it looks due to so many forced breaks. But any player who is able to force the added distance down the fairway will be rewarded with the benefit of a shorter club on the small domed greens in the Dye design.
When we look at the recent winners, it’s clear that Harbor Town favor consistent ball-strikers who are good around the green. Case in point: 2025 winner Justin Thomas.
The bump is important this week as players hit under 60 percent of the greens at Harbor Town compared to about 65 percent in an average Tour event.
The setting is not the big factor in Harbor Town that many people think it is. Shorter courses like this are often misconstrued as contests, but it’s actually a track you can win at without putting it too well.
I like to take a look at Pete Dye’s history of this field. Coloring courses are a tricky kind of challenge, and it’s been clear for decades now that some players just get the look of his places and play well in most tournaments on them.
How the model works
The weighted pattern this week over the last 24 rounds is 20% SG: Approach, 15% SG: Off Tee, 15% SG: Around the Green, 10% SG: Putting (Bermuda), 10% Par 4: 401-450 yards, 10% SG: Dye 10-10 total yards (Pete), 5% SG: Total and 5% GIR.
Power ranking
(DraftKings Odds-Winning/Top 5/Top 10 with favorite choices in bold)
10. Jordan Spieth (+3600, +580+260)
Model order: 14th
Time to get fooled by Spieth again. He managed a smooth T12 at Augusta last week despite missing nearly two shots on the green. But the irons continue to be in great shape, and this is a venue where Spieth won in 2022 (despite missing strokes) and finished second in 2023. He’s right there if he can figure out the flat club. Ranked 4th in SG: APP.
9. Ryo Hisatsune (+9000+1200, +500)
Model order: 13th
I’ll keep beating the drum for Ryo, who is 22nd in the FedExCup and may have been the most deserving non-court player at the Masters. The strong finishes keep piling up and he played well here last year as a less in-form debutant, finishing with a T18. Not many are hitting it better than he is right now. Ranks second in GIR%.
8. Xander Schauffele (+1450, +265+126)
Model order: 9th
It’s not my favorite course fit, but Schauffele has still been fourth here before and has posted good results the last two years. He was in the mix at Augusta over the weekend but struggled on and around the greens, which has been the theme this year despite his excellent ball-striking. Ranked second in SG: APP.
7. Tommy Fleetwood (+1750, +305, +142)
Model order: 6th
Fleetwood had an absolute blast over the weekend at the Masters after entering Saturday T4. I won’t think about this tournament. He was 7th here last year and has a great eye for Pete Dye courses in general. Tommy continues to have one of the most balanced games in golf. Ranked 7th in SG: ARG.
6. Patrick Cantlay (+2400+405, +186)
Model order: 10th
Things could finally change for Cantlay right before a tournament he somehow never won. Since 2017, he has finished T3, T7, T3, MC, 2nd, 3rd, T3 and T13 at Harbor Town. This seems to be his happy place. Cantlay finished 12th at the Masters while making a great iron play and was also T7 at Valspar. Ranked 10th in SG: ARG.
5. Russell Henley (+1700+295, +136)
Model order: 5th
Henley had a real chance to win the Masters. Making the turn at 2-under 10, he missed so many good birdies on the next few holes before settling for T3. Henley led the field at SG: Approach and will be heading to one of the best courses on Tour for him, where he finished T8 last year. Ranked 9th in SG: P (Bermuda).
4. Ludvig Aberg (+2100, +375, +176)
Model order: 2n.d
This was a disappointing Masters for Aberg, who had some great moments but made too many mistakes on and around the greens. It looks like he lacks some of the artistry needed with the short game there, but that won’t be a problem at Harbor Town, where Aberg finished T10 as a debutant in 2024. He’s doing extremely well now and could certainly be a factor this week. Ranked 10th in SG: APP.
3. Cameron Young (+1750, +320, +152)
Model order: 3st
Young continues to roll. In his first start since winning The Players, he narrowly took home the green jacket in a remarkable week despite getting off to a terrible start on Thursday. I will be interested to see how he responds after the close call and if this level is consistent throughout the year. Since finishing T3 at Harbor Town in his first start in 2022, he has struggled a lot. Ranked first in SG: OTT.
2. Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600+295, +138)
Model order: 1str
It wasn’t to be for Fitzpatrick last week at the Masters, but he still managed a solid T18 finish despite the putter completely letting him down. That seems to be the only thing stopping the Englishman from crying at the moment, but Bermuda greens are his favourite. He won this tournament in 2023 and should be favorite to do it again on his current form. Ranked 6th in SG: APP.
1. Scottie Scheffler (+370, -122-250)
Model order: 4th
What could have been for Scheffler at the Masters, where he trailed Rory McIlroy by 12 shots entering the weekend and shot 65-68 to lose by 1. He looked like the world No. 1 again with a fantastic week with the irons, and he finished T11, 1, T8 in three trips to Harbor. There may be an element of disappointment this week after the close call, but he’s generally not one to dwell on the past. Ranked first in SG: ARG.
Top Photo Caption: The 18th hole at Harbor Town is one of the most popular on the tour. (GETTY IMAGES/Keyur Khamar)
