For each PGA Tour event, we’ll rank the top 10 players by odds to win, based on a weighted model, shape and course fit. Along the way, we’ll highlight some of our favorite bets.
This week, the tour returns to Florida for the Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral.
- Date: April 30 – May 3, 2026
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Course: Tramp National Doral – Blue Monster Course
- How to watch: CBS, Golf Channel, ESPN+
- Bag: 20 000 000 dollars
- Defending Champion: N/A
How the model works
The weighted pattern this week over the last 24 rounds is 25% SG: Off Tee, 20% SG Approach, 15% SG: Total (High Water Hazard Courses), 10% SG: Putting (Bermuda), 10% SG: Around Green, 10% Greens in Regulation 20% and 1.
Power ranking
(DraftKings Odds-Winning/Top 5/Top 10 with favorite choices in bold)
10. Sudarshan Yellamaraju (+10500, +1350+550)
Model order: 4th
Yellamaraju finally had a poor result at Harbor Town after more than a month of impressive play. He will return to Florida this week, where he posted his best result. Doral seems to be a good fit for the surprise rookie, as he has been very strong off the top and enjoys Bermuda’s greens. Rank 7th in SG: THERE.
9. Patrick Cantlay (+2600+410, +186)
Model order: 11th
It was another great week for Cantlay at Harbor Town, but he just can’t figure out the flat stick. The ball he hits appears to be fully reversed and strong enough for Cantlay to turn into one of the best players in the game. He missed over four shots on the green in his T8 at Harbor Town, so if he can get closer to par on the course, he could be a factor at Doral. Order 2n.d in SG: ARG.
8. Adam Scott (+3900, +590+265)
Model order: 8th
Scott is not very different from Cantlay. The Aussie is hitting wonderfully after a T21 in Houston and T24 at the Masters, but his putter has completely let him down. Scott has won with his irons in every single start this year and still has a long way to go to compete at a course like Doral. It is also much more suitable for a difficult week of marking. Order 2n.d in SG: APP.
7. Si Woo Kim (+2700, +430, +192)
Model order: 20th
After a bit of a slump after his incredible start to the year, Kim got back on track at Harbor Town with a 3st last place despite not having the best with irons. It was a very encouraging start with the propellant warming up and a great driving display. That recipe will work for Doral, especially if his approach game returns to its usual form. Rank 8th in SG: THERE.
6. Chris Gotterup (+2800+475, +220)
Model order: 12th
Gotterup continues to play solid golf, often making his first start on some of the Tour’s toughest courses. Doral really looks like a perfect course fit for him from afar. His drills and low drives should present a lot of distance while also keeping him out of a lot of trouble, a bit like he did at Waialae. Order 14th in SG: P (Bermuda).
5. Collin Morikawa (+1950+330, +154)
Model order: 3st
What an impressive fortnight for Morikawa at the Masters and Harbor Town, despite clearly struggling a bit physically. A week off might help matters, but Doral also certainly isn’t the course you want to be on if you can’t fully commit to your shots on the 7,770-yard course. The game looks like it’s in great shape, so it should all come down to health. Order 1str in SG: APP.
4. Tommy Fleetwood (+2400, +390, +176)
Model order: 6th
Fleetwood lost the plot a bit at the weekend at the Masters and Harbor Town, but it looks like he’ll bounce back. The Englishman tends to play great golf in Florida and likes a tough test like Doral should present. The irons need improvement, but Fleetwood continues to check all the boxes with one of the most balanced games on Tour. Rank 10th in SG: THERE.
3. Russell Henley (+2700, +415, +186)
Model order: 5th
Henley surprisingly struggled a bit at Harbor Town with his irons just a week after gaining nearly 10 strokes on the field on approach at the Masters. The rest of his game was pretty consistent again, and while the irons have been a bit shaky, you can count on Henley to be in the mix when he’s bringing his usual game. Doral should be a good fit because of all the cheap routes it can find. Rank 8th in SG: P (Bermuda).
2. Cameron Young (+1250+230, +110)
Model order: 1str
Young had a nightmare on the greens at Harbor Town after his tough loss at the Masters. Otherwise, there was little disappointment as the world number 4 continues to hit the ball extremely well along with showing a much improved short game. Young really checks all the boxes this week and rates extremely well in all the categories we’re looking for. Order 1str in SG: THERE.
1. Scottie Scheffler (+310, -146-310)
Model order: 2n.d
This is now Scheffler’s second, as some golf media completely reacted to some middle games through the Florida Swing. His hitting is coming back into shape, and Scheffler’s shot also continues to look really solid. There’s no player in golf you’d rather have on a course trying the course hard, so I can’t imagine putting anyone else ahead of him this week. Order 1str in SG: ARG.
