Liverpool’s manager, Arne Slot, called the new “Estrany” Champions League format, Pep Guardiola del Manchester City admitted that he struggled to understand his complexities while the President of the Real Madrid, Florentino Pérez, Ho He wrote as “absurd”.
However, the Opening League phase A success was largely considered. Among many emotions, spills and only eight 0-0 of 144 games, several members of the continental elite refused the automatic entrance to the 16 round and combined with each other for the play-offs D ‘This month.
As the latter new wrinkle of the renewed format of the competition begins, elect They have presented the predictions of their supercomputer for the winner of each play-off and the entire competition.
The main draw of the inaugural play-off rounds is definitely Manchester CityThe crash with Real Madrid. The two continental giants have faced four times in the last five stages eliminated from the Champions League, both parties advancing the next round twice.
Carlo Ancelotti was furious For the possibility of going against the city, “we do not like to play against them,” he sighed, but Madrid is classified as close favorites to progress according to electWith a 53.1% chance of reaching the 16th round. Guardiola could have little complaints about this prediction, given their own verdict shortly before the draw was made: “They are better than us right now.”
Although this play-off is considered to be the closest to call, Paris Saint-Germain are classified as the heaviest favorites of their tie with all the French Councilor. Capital has already beaten its national rivals twice League 1 This season and won a 5-2 victory in the western tip of France until February 1.
Bayern of Munich Could have drawn City in the play-off round but instead combined Celtic. The confidence made by a staff that has a 73.1% chance of moving forward was captured by Thomas Muller’s rally cry after making the draw: “Let’s rock it!”
“”Juventus He is a strong rival but we believe we are better than them ”,” PSV Eindhoven Cape Peter Bosz stated. The supercomputer disagrees.
MilanThe possibilities of calling Feyenoord Of the competition (which stands at 65.7%), it has undoubtedly increased by signing the best player in the Dutch club, Santiago Gimenez during the January transfer window. Attic already dispense with Brugge club Graduate Charles de Ketelaere and is a great favorite for the breeze ahead of his Belgian enemies.
At the meeting between two clubs that have supported the management disorder this season, Sports CP is expected to go out Borussia Dortmundwhile BenficianThe besieged chief may, Bruno Lage Monach (As expected) if you want to keep your job.
First leg fixation |
Predicted winner (victory probability) |
---|---|
Brest vs psg |
PSG (85.7%) |
Juventus vs PSV |
Juventus (55.6%) |
Man City vs Real Madrid |
Real Madrid (53.1%) |
Sport vs Borussia Dortmund |
Sport (66.2%) |
Club Brugge vs Atalanta |
Atalanta (73.4%) |
Celtic vs Bayern Munich |
Bavaria Munich (73.1%) |
Feyenoord vs milan |
Milan (65.7%) |
Monaco vs Benfica |
Benfica (56.4%) |
While the sides that ended between the ninth and 24 at the swollen league table took place in February, eight clubs could easily rest with their place in the March 16 round.
Liverpool overcome the new classification, only falling points against PSV When Arne Slot left Mohamed Salah, Virgil Van Dijk, Alisson and a glut by other first -team players at home. Reds raised the Club’s seventh European Cup in almost a quarter (24.6%) of the 10,000 simulations made by Opt Supercomputer.
Arsenal The following most likely winners are considered in a competition that have not won infamous. At the end of third in the league phase, the gunners (and fourth place Between) will face one of PSV, Juventus, Feyenoord or Milan in the Ronda of 16, thus avoiding the tastes of Liverpool and Barcelona until at least the semifinals of the competition.
Barcelona Should not be deducted. Praised by his domestic enemies, Hansi Flic’s Free Score Record Breakers They are a volatile proposal: in every way.
Given its longest route to the final, Real MadridThe possibilities of preserving the Trophy of the Champions League are 4.4%, while Manchester City They are tenth-favored (3.2%).
Ultimately, these figures are little more than approximate estimates. Before the campaign began, RB Leipzig was considered to be the tenth favorite to win the competition, but they crashed in the first round. The winner of 2021, Thomas Tuchel, described the Champions League as “the most beautiful competition, but the hardest competition we play.” It is also one of the most difficult to predict.
Row |
Gear |
Probability of winning the Champions League |
---|---|---|
1. |
Liverpool |
24.6% |
2. |
Arsenal |
16.6% |
3. |
Between |
14.5% |
4. |
Barcelona |
9.5% |
5. |
Psg |
6.3% |
6. |
Real Madrid |
4.4% |
7. |
Atlético de Madrid |
3.9% |
8. |
Bayer Leverkusen |
3.7% |
9. |
Attic |
3.5% |
10. |
Home City |
3.2% |
11. |
Bayern of Munich |
2.1% |
12. |
Sporty |
1.8% |
13. |
Aston Villa |
1.3% |
14. |
Milan |
1% |
15. |
Juventus |
0.9% |
16. |
Lille |
0.8% |
17. |
Benfician |
0.6% |
18. |
PSV |
0.4% |
19. |
Monach |
0.3% |
20. |
Brugge club |
0.2% |
21. |
Borussia Dortmund |
0.1% |
22. |
Feyenoord |
0.1% |
23. |
Celtic |
0.1% |
24. |
Councilor |
0% |