Matchday 22 of the Premier League season looks like it could be crucial.
Leaders Liverpool looked destined to drop points at Brentford before a stoppage-time brace from the under-fire Darwin Nunez inspired a great 2-0 winwhich only became more significant when Arsenal let a two-goal lead slip away against Aston Villa later in the day
There’s still a long way to go, but here’s how the stats stack up to choose watch the Premier League title race unfold after the latest round of drama.
Arsenal’s draw means Liverpool they now sit six points clear at the top of the table, with the added advantage of having a game in hand away to Everton next month.
No question, that’s a big plus at this point in the season.
This is reflected in the statistics, with to choose giving Liverpool a whopping 91.5% of handing Arne Slot the Premier League trophy in his first season at Anfield. No team has a better chance of finishing in any position than Liverpool in first place.
Mikel Arteta knows that there is an abyss to close if arsenal they will finally win the title this year. The stats are definitely not on their side, with the Gunners having just an 8.2% chance of challenging for the title away from Liverpool.
It is not, however, a two-horse race. Eight classified Manchester City they still have a 0.2% chance of completing the most impressive title change in history, while high-flying Nottingham Forest sit at 0.1%.
Newcastle United and Chelsea, who are fourth and fifth respectively, have no hope of winning the big one.
|
classification |
club |
Probability of winning the title |
|---|---|---|
|
1. |
Liverpool |
91.5% |
|
2. |
arsenal |
8.2% |
|
3. |
Manchester City |
0.2% |
|
4. |
Nottingham Forest |
0.1% |
