Matchday four of the Champions League offered some surprising and unexpected results, shaking up the standings midway through the league stage.
Liverpool were the only Premier League team to avoid defeat. beating Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 in Xabi Alonso’s return to Anfield, while Real Madrid were stunned at home by an impressive Milan. There was another defeat for Paris Saint-Germain, while Juventus stumbled to a disappointing draw.
The newly expanded and renovated Champions League It certainly adds to the drama as things stand, but what do the results of Matchday 4 mean for the table in the eighth and final game of the league stage?
well, to choose‘s the supercomputer has been working overtime to project what the final table might look like, and remember that these are just predictions.
The top eight teams after playing all eight matches automatically qualify for the last 16 of the changed Champions League. Liverpool they are the only team to have a perfect record after four consecutive wins and to choose they believe they will maintain their lead at the top of the table. They have a 95.1% chance of ending up in the auto-ranked spots.
After the 1-0 win over Arsenal on Wednesdayfinalists 2022/23 Inter a runner-up is expected. They are predicted to win 17.6 points in the league stage, 0.5 more than sports CP after theirs 4-1 demolition of Manchester City on Tuesday. However, the departure of Ruben Amorim could affect their chances of automatic qualification.
After a disappointing loss in their first game, Barcelona he has scored 14 goals in his last three games. There will be quarter seconds left of Opta 50,000 simulations, closely followed by last season’s runners-up Borussia Dortmundwho have also won three and lost one of their first four matches.
despite being humiliated by Sporting during the weekwinners 2022/23 Manchester City sixth are expected. They currently remain tenth despite setbacks against Inter and the Portuguese champions, with Europa League winners Atalanta are projected to sit just behind them in seventh after an unbeaten start to their European campaign.
Monaco complete the top eight as they continue to shine under Adi Hutter. The first-day win against Barcelona was followed by a draw and two wins, currently placing them third in the 36-team league.
position |
team |
Expected points |
---|---|---|
1. |
Liverpool |
19.8 |
2. |
Inter |
17.6 |
3. |
sports CP |
17.1 |
4. |
Barcelona |
16.4 |
5. |
Borussia Dortmund |
15.9 |
6. |
Man City |
15.2 |
7. |
Atalanta |
14.9 |
8. |
Monaco |
14.8 |
Organizing the to choose data for predicted point totals, there is troubling news for the headliners Real Madrid. The 15-time champions have won two and lost two of their four draws and currently sit 18th in the league stage. They are projected to finish one spot below, which would see them enter the play-off round as an unseeded team: ninth through 16th are seeded and 17th through 24th are unseeded.
Paris Saint-Germain they are in an even more worrying position. They have finished just four points behind Luis Enrique and are predicted to finish 24th, right on the cusp of elimination. The French champions face Bayern Munich and Man City in their last four games.
Juventus i Atlético de Madrid They are also expected to be unseeded teams that qualify for the play-off round, with them looking increasingly unlikely to secure automatic progression to the round of 16. The latter brought PSG down in midweek in the dying stages to keep their hopes alive.
Looking further up the rankings, Bundesliga titans Bayer Leverkusen They are predicted to finish tenth, four places and 0.5 points ahead Bayern Munich. The reigning German champions would have placed higher had they not been beaten by Liverpool in their last outing.
Aston Villa is one of the teams Bayern have beaten this season, but they suffered their first European defeat on Wednesday, losing 1-0 at Club Brugge thanks to a comical penalty. Despite having nine points in the stock market, they are expected to finish two places below those of Mikel Arteta arsenal in the final classification. The Gunners still have a 37.5% chance of finishing in the top eight despite a mediocre campaign.
Celtic have made an impressive start to their 2024/25 Champions League journey despite losing 7-1 to Dortmund on matchday two. They are projected to be 15th, two places behind the seven-time champions. Milan and three places for debutants and a surprise package Brest.
position |
team |
Expected points |
---|---|---|
9. |
arsenal |
14.7 |
10. |
Bayer Leverkusen |
14.5 |
11. |
Aston Villa |
14.4 |
12. |
Brest |
14.2 |
13. |
Milan |
14.1 |
14. |
Bayern Munich |
14.0 |
15. |
Celtic |
13.2 |
16. |
Lille |
13.1 |
17. |
Atlético de Madrid |
13.1 |
18. |
Juventus |
12.8 |
19. |
Real Madrid |
12.8 |
20. |
PSV Eindhoven |
11.9 |
21. |
Stuttgart |
11.6 |
22. |
Benfica |
10.9 |
23. |
Dinamo Zagreb |
10.9 |
24. |
PSG |
10.4 |
It is not surprising to see that the likes of Young Boys, Slavic Bratislava, Red Star Belgrade i Storm Graz All are expected to exit the competition before the knockout stages, however RB Leipzig they are surprisingly below the competition this year. Four defeats on the bounce leave them in a dangerous position despite a strong start to the Bundesliga.
Debutantes Girona have not handled elite European football with the same grace as Brest and are likely to be eliminated after their 4-0 drubbing of PSV Eindhoven in midweek. Similarly, the Italian part bolognawho have never been in the competition since their rebrand, are unlikely to progress after a draw and three defeats.
Former Liverpool assistant manager Pep Lijnders secured a first win in the league stage with Salzburg on Wednesday, beating Arne Slot’s former team Feyenoord. The former are still unlikely to reach the top 24, while the latter are knocking on the door despite a disappointing start to the campaign.
position |
team |
Expected points |
---|---|---|
25. |
Feyenoord |
10.4 |
26. |
Club Bruges |
9.2 |
27. |
Sparta Prague |
7.6 |
28. |
Girona |
6.9 |
29. |
Shakhtar Donetsk |
6.7 |
30 |
RB Leipzig |
5.7 |
31. |
bologna |
5.1 |
32. |
Salzburg |
5.1 |
33. |
Red Star Belgrade |
3.8 |
34. |
Storm Graz |
3.1 |
35. |
Young Boys |
2.9 |
36. |
Slavic Bratislava |
2.1 |