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Saturday, January 17, 2026

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern München| Bundesliga | Predictions | Alignments | Key statistics and betting tips


Details of the match information
competition Bundesliga – (Germany)
Ronda 18
Date and time 17/01/2026, 18:30 – (Includes BST/GMT time zone).
stadium Red Bull Arena

Prediction – RB Leipzig 5 – 5 FC Bayern Munich

Recent form

How RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München prepare to face each other at the Red Bull Arena, with both teams coming into the match with recent contrasting Bundesliga form. RB Leipzig have shown resilience and ability to get positive results, with three wins, a draw and a loss in their last five league games. In particular, they achieved a 6-0 victory against Eintracht Frankfurt and a solid 2-0 win at Werder Bremen. Their only setback was against Bayer Leverkusen, where they suffered a 3-1 defeat. Leipzig’s ability to dominate weaker opponents and hold their own against competitive teams like Borussia Mönchengladbach, as seen in their 0-0 draw, suggests they are in relatively stable form. In contrast, FC Bayern München’s recent performances have been inconsistent, characterized by significant fluctuations in their results. Although they started with a big 8-1 win VfL Wolfsburg and a 3-1 win against St. Pauli, they also endured heavy defeats, such as the 5-0 defeat against VfB Stuttgart and a surprising 4-0 defeat at Heidenheim. The 2-2 draw against FSV Mainz 05 further highlights their unpredictable nature. This inconsistency could be a vulnerability that Leipzig could look to exploit. Bayern have historically had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, including a dominant 6-0 win in their last meeting. However, Leipzig have managed to draw in past games, indicating that they can challenge Bayern under the right circumstances. As both teams take to the field, the momentum is slightly in Leipzig’s favor due to their steadier recent form, but Bayern’s potential for explosive performances remains a threat.

RB Leipzig last 5 league games

teams result Red cards Yellow cards corners free tits possession Assistance
RB Leipzig vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-3 0 – 0 1-2 2-8 12-10 44% – 56% 1-2
FC Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig 1-3 0 – 0 2-2 4-6 8-7 37% – 63% 3-1
RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt 6-0 0 – 0 1-2 4-0 16-9 52% – 48% 4-0
Borussia Monchengladbach vs RB Leipzig 0-0 0 – 0 0-3 5-6 9-9 42% – 58% 0 – 0
RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen 2-0 0 – 0 1-2 13-7 7-5 52% – 48% 2-0

RB Leipzig’s recent performances in the Bundesliga have been a mix of dominant wins and some setbacks, reflecting both their potential and areas they need to improve. In the last five matches, they have managed three wins, a draw and a defeat, showing their ability to achieve positive results but also highlighting occasional inconsistencies. The 6-0 demolition of RB Leipzig should be highlighted Eintracht Frankfurt they highlighted their offensive prowess, with four assists and a strong possession game. This win was a testament to their ability to dominate matches, both in terms of possession and creating scoring opportunities. The team’s away game against Union Berlin further demonstrated their effectiveness, securing a 3-1 win with 63% possession and six corners. However, their recent 1-3 loss to Bayer Leverkusen exposed vulnerabilities, especially when dealing with high-pressing teams. Despite a commendable fightback, Leipzig struggled to maintain possession and defensive organisation, as evidenced by the eight corners conceded, suggesting an area their opponents could try to exploit.RB LeipzigThe current list of injuries is relatively short, with Luke Klostermann sidelined because of the flu. While his absence is a setback, the depth of the squad allows for a seamless transition. The predicted lineup, with key players like Péter Gulácsi in goal and a solid defensive line led by Willi Orbán and David Raumindicates a robust defensive configuration. In the middle of the field, the presence of Christoph Baumgartner i Xavier Schlager it provides stability and creativity, essential to control the pace of the game. The attacking trio Conrad HarderRomulus i Yan Diomande he is expected to lead the offensive strategy. His recent performances suggest a focus on high-tempo attacks and exploiting spaces in the opposition defence. RB Leipzig’s focus in the upcoming game will likely revolve around taking advantage of their quick transitions and maintaining high pressure to disrupt the opponent’s play. The team’s ability to adapt and capitalize on their attacking strengths while addressing defensive lapses will be crucial to securing a positive result at Red Bull Arena.

FC Bayern Munich last 5 league games

teams result Red cards Yellow cards corners free tits possession Assistance
FC Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg 8-1 0 – 0 0-1 6-2 6-7 68% – 32% 6-1
Heidenheim vs FC Bayern Munich 4-0 0 – 0 0 – 0 0-6 6-8 26% – 74% 0-2
FC Bayern Munich vs FSV Mainz 05 2-2 0 – 0 2-2 7-0 7-7 85% – 15% 1-2
VfB Stuttgart vs FC Bayern Munich 5-0 1-0 2-4 3-4 11-5 41% – 59% 0-4
FC Bayern Munich Vs St. Pauli 3-1 0 – 0 1-1 10-2 8-5 80% – 20% 2-1

FC Bayern München’s recent performances in the Bundesliga have been mixed, showing both their potential for dominance and their vulnerabilities. In their last five league games, Bayern secured emphatic victories VfL Wolfsburg and Heidenheim, with results of 8-1 and 4-0 respectively. These matches highlighted Bayern’s attacking prowess, particularly in the Wolfsburg game where he showed clinical finishing with an impressive six assists and an overwhelming 68% possession. His ability to control the game was most evident in the Heidenheim game, keeping 74% of possession and taking advantage of set pieces with six corners. However, Bayern’s defense has shown signs of frailty, as evidenced by the 5-0 defeat VfB Stuttgart. Despite having a higher percentage of possession (59%), Bayern struggled to contain Stuttgart’s counter-attacks and were disorganized defensively. This inconsistency was also evident in their 2-2 draw with FSV Mainz 05, where despite dominating possession with 85%, Bayern were unable to convert their territorial advantage into a decisive victory. The draw against Mainz also highlighted a potential over-reliance on individual brilliance rather than cohesive team play, given the lack of conversion from their seven corners. The injury of Josip Stanisic it is a notable absence, which may affect Bayern’s defensive depth. However, with experienced players like Dayot Upamecano i Jonathan Tah in likely starting positions, the team still has a stout defensive line. The projected lineup suggests a balanced approach, with a mix of defensive solidity and attacking talent. The inclusion of Harry Kane and Luis Díaz in the attacking lineup is a powerful scoring threat, while the presence of the midfield Leon Goretzka ensures both defensive coverage and creative distribution. With these factors in mind, Bayern are likely to approach their next match with an emphasis on dominating possession and using their attacking talent to break down the opposition defence. However, they will need to remain vigilant on counter-attacks and improve their defensive coordination to avoid conceding goals against nimble opponents. Bayern’s recent performances indicate that while their offensive capabilities are formidable, addressing defensive lapses will be crucial to maintaining their competitive edge in the Bundesliga.

Team news and injuries

RB Leipzig injuries and suspensions

Injuries and suspensions of FC Bayern München

  • Josip Stanisic (Capsular injury)

Head-to-head (H2H) registration and summary.

H2H Last 5

teams result Red cards Yellow cards corners free tits possession Assistance
FC Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig (22 August 2025) 6-0 0 – 0 4-1 5-5 13-13 63% – 37% 5-0
RB Leipzig – FC Bayern Munich (3 May 2025) 3-3 0 – 0 3-1 2-7 6-9 38% – 62% 3-3
FC Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig (December 20, 2024) 5-1 0 – 0 5-2 8-1 10-9 71% – 29% 0 – 0
FC Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig (February 24, 2024) 2-1 0 – 0 3-3 6-4 0 – 0 57% – 43% 2-1
RB Leipzig – FC Bayern Munich (September 30, 2023) 2-2 0 – 0 2-5 5-1 0 – 0 35% – 65% 2-1

Detailed H2H analysis

In the last meetings between RB Leipzig and FC Bayern München, a different pattern emerges, showing Bayern’s dominant performance. In the last five matches, Bayern have achieved three important victories, with results such as 6-0 and 5-1, underlining their offensive prowess. The match on 22 August 2025, where Bayern’s 6-0 triumph was characterized by substantial possession (63%) and five notable assists, highlights his ability to control play and take advantage of scoring opportunities effectively. Conversely, RB Leipzig managed to hold Bayern to a draw on two occasions, with a notable 3-3 draw in May 2025, demonstrating Leipzig’s resilience and ability to challenge Bayern’s dominance despite often being behind in terms of possession and offensive stats. potential alignments that could influence the outcome. RB Leipzig will be without Luke Klostermann due to the flu, which can affect his defensive stability. Meanwhile, Bayern will be missed Josip Stanisicbut their squad depth allows them to field a solid lineup with key players like Manuel Neuer i Harry Kane. Leipzig’s predicted line-up suggests an emphasis on a balanced approach, integrating defensive solidity with attacking options such as Rômulo and Yan Diomande. Bayern’s line-up indicates a focus on maintaining control of the midfield and exploiting the attacking talents of Harry Kane and Luis Diaz. Given historical head-to-head trends and current squad compositions, Bayern’s recent dominance suggests they could continue to hold the upper hand, but Leipzig’s ability to attract high-scoring fixtures hints at their potential to disrupt Bayern’s rhythm and possibly alter the expected narrative.

Expected lineups





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