| Details of the match | information |
| competition | 2. Bundesliga – (Germany) |
| Ronda | 9 |
| Date and time | 19/10/2025, 12:30 BST |
| stadium | Max-Morlock Stadium |
Prediction – Nuremberg 1-2 Holstein Kiel
Recent form
As Nürnberg and Holstein Kiel prepare for their next game, an analysis of their recent form and their historical meetings reveals different patterns of momentum, scoring and defensive performances. Nuremberg’s last five league games show a mixed bag of results, with two wins (3-2 vs. Fortuna Düsseldorf and 2-1 vs. VfL Bochum 1848), two defeats (0-3 vs. Hertha BSC and 1-2 vs. Karlsruher SC) and one draw (0-0 vs. Paderborn). His scoring performance has been inconsistent as he has managed six goals in those games but failed to score in two games. Defensively, they have struggled, conceding eight goals, with just one clean sheet, suggesting vulnerabilities at the back.
Holstein Kiel, meanwhile, have shown somewhat more balanced recent form in their last five league outings, securing two wins (3-0 over Karlsruher SC and 1-0 against Schalke 04), one draw (1-1 with Darmstadt 98) and two defeats (0-1 against Elversberg and 1-96 against Hannover). They have scored six goals, equaling Nuremberg’s tally, but have shown greater defensive solidity by conceding just four goals, including two clean sheets. This indicates a more stable bottom line compared to Nuremberg. In head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel have a slight advantage, winning three of their last five games against Nuremberg, who have won twice. The results are often high-scoring affairs, with four of the five games featuring at least three goals.
In conclusion, while both teams have shown offensive potential, Holstein Kiel appear to enter the match with a marginal advantage in defensive consistency and historical dominance over Nuremberg.
Nuremberg Last 5 league games
| Teams | result | Red cards | Yellow cards | corners | free tits | possession | Assistance |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Vs Nuremberg | 2-3 | 0 – 0 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 11-13 | 55% – 45% | 2-1 |
| Nuremberg vs Hertha BSC | 0-3 | 0 – 0 | 2-3 | 6-1 | 22-12 | 63% – 37% | 0-2 |
| Nuremberg vs VfL Bochum 1848 | 2-1 | 0 – 0 | 1-5 | 8-5 | 12-8 | 59% – 41% | 2-0 |
| Karlsruher SC vs Nuremberg | 2-1 | 0 – 0 | 2-1 | 6-10 | 9-8 | 41% – 59% | 1-0 |
| Nuremberg vs Paderborn | 0-0 | 0 – 0 | 3-4 | 7-5 | 10-12 | 47% – 53% | 0 – 0 |
Nürnberg’s performance over the last five league games presents a mixed picture, with moments of promise overshadowed by inconsistency. The team has managed two wins, one draw and two defeats, reflecting a team struggling to find its footing. Their wins against Fortuna Düsseldorf (3-2) and VfL Bochum 1848 (2-1) showed their attacking potential, with a combined five goals scored and effective use of assists (three in those games). However, defeats to Hertha BSC (0-3) and Karlsruher SC (1-2), along with a goalless draw against Paderborn, highlight defensive vulnerabilities and an inability to consistently convert chances.
Analyzing their statistical output, Nuremberg have shown a tendency to dominate possession in various matches, averaging 54% across the five matches, with peaks of 63% against Hertha BSC and 59% against Bochum and Karlsruher SC. Despite this control, their conversion rate remains a concern, as seen in the defeat of Hertha BSC, where they failed to score despite significant possession. Defensively, the team has been relatively disciplined, avoiding red cards altogether and accumulating just nine yellow cards. His set-piece play, especially corners, has been a strength, averaging 6.6 per game, often outnumbering opponents, as evidenced by his 10 corners against Karlsruher SC.
On the downside, Nürnberg’s ability to capitalize on free kicks and maintain defensive solidity under pressure needs to be improved. Games like the one against Hertha BSC, where he conceded three goals despite taking 22 free kicks, underline the lack of clinical finishing and defensive organisation. Their form away from home also looks inconsistent, with a win and a loss in their two away games.
In conclusion, while Nürnberg have shown potential in possession opportunities and set pieces, their recent form suggests a need for greater consistency in both attack and defense in order to move up the league table.
Holstein Kiel Last 5 league games
| Teams | result | Red cards | Yellow cards | corners | free tits | possession | Assistance |
| Holstein Kiel vs Darmstadt 98 | 1-1 | 0 – 0 | 1-1 | 5-0 | 13-9 | 61% – 39% | 1-1 |
| Elversberg Vs Holstein Kiel | 1-0 | 0 – 0 | 4-2 | 9-4 | 13-11 | 60% – 40% | 0 – 0 |
| Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruher SC | 3-0 | 0 – 0 | 5-3 | 4-5 | 14-14 | 46% – 54% | 3-0 |
| Schalke 04 Vs Holstein Kiel | 0-1 | 0 – 0 | 0-3 | 8-3 | 13-17 | 52% – 48% | 0-1 |
| Holstein Kiel vs Hannover 96 | 1-2 | 0 – 0 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 16-23 | 41% – 59% | 1-2 |
Holstein Kiel’s performance over the last five league games presents a mixed picture, with moments of promise interspersed with areas of concern. The team has achieved two wins, one draw and two defeats, which indicates an inconsistency in their results. Their wins against Karlsruher SC (3-0) and Schalke 04 (1-0) highlight their ability to dominate and capitalize on scoring opportunities, especially in the previous game where they registered three assists and maintained a clinical edge. However, narrow defeats to Elversberg (1-0) and Hannover 96 (1-2), along with a 1-1 draw with Darmstadt 98, suggest difficulties in maintaining defensive solidity and converting chances against resilient opponents.
Analyzing their statistical production, Holstein Kiel shows variability in possession and set piece creation. They had significant possession in the games against Darmstadt 98 (61%) and Elversberg (40%), but did not translate it into wins in the latter. Conversely, in games where possession was more evenly split or tilted against them, such as against Karlsruher SC (46%) and Hannover 96 (41%), their results varied widely. The corner count also reflects inconsistency, with a high of 5 against Darmstadt but a low of 1 against Hannover, indicating fluctuating attacking pressure. Defensively, the team has avoided red cards in every game, but the accumulation of yellow cards (ranging from 1 to 5 per game) suggests occasional lapses in discipline that could prove costly in tighter contests.
Holstein Kiel’s free kicks are relatively high, often exceeding 13 per game, pointing to an aggressive style that draws fouls but is also at risk of conceding them, as seen in the Hannover game (16-23). Overall, while Holstein Kiel shows potential through good individual performances and tactical adaptability, their inability to consistently secure results and maintain defensive structure remains a concern. Addressing these inconsistencies will be crucial for the team to build momentum in the coming games.
Team news and injuries
Nuremberg injuries and suspensions
- Henri Koudossou (Ankle Injury)
Holstein Kiel injuries and suspensions
- Mladen Cvjetinovic (Syndesmotic Ligament Ligament)
Head-to-head (H2H) registration and summary.
| Teams | result | Red cards | Yellow cards | corners | free tits | possession | Assistance |
| Nuremberg Vs Holstein Kiel | 0-4 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 4-9 | 0 – 0 | 29% – 71% | 0-3 |
| Holstein Kiel vs Nuremberg | 0-2 | 0 – 0 | 2-4 | 7-3 | 0 – 0 | 54% – 46% | 0-2 |
| Holstein Kiel vs Nuremberg | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4-2 | 0 – 0 | 53% – 47% | 1-1 |
| Nuremberg Vs Holstein Kiel | 2-3 | 0 – 0 | 1-4 | 6-3 | 0 – 0 | 47% – 52% | 2-2 |
| Holstein Kiel vs Nuremberg | 3-0 | 0 – 0 | 2-2 | 9-3 | 0 – 0 | 52% – 48% | 3-0 |
Detailed H2H analysis
Head-to-head between Nürnberg and Holstein Kiel over the last five matches reveals a clear dominance of Holstein Kiel, who have secured victory in four of the encounters, while Nürnberg have managed just one win. Analyzing the results, Holstein Kiel’s superiority is evident in their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as seen in the 4-0 thrashing of Nuremberg away from home, where they dominated possession with 71% and won nine corners compared to Nuremberg’s four. This match also highlighted Nuremberg’s disciplinary struggles, with a red card and four yellows, which can upset their defensive structure. Similarly, Holstein Kiel’s 3-0 home win showcased his attacking prowess with three assists and a significant edge in corners (9-3), highlighting his command of set-piece situations. In contrast, Nürnberg’s only win, a 2-0 win at Holstein Kiel, showed their ability to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities despite lower possession (46%), with two assists reflecting efficient finishing.
Looking deeper into the trends, Holstein Kiel consistently maintain higher possession in most matches, averaging 56%, which often translates into more attacking chances, as evidenced by their higher corner counts in three of the five matches. Nuremberg, however, have struggled with discipline, racking up the most yellow cards in three matches and picking up two red cards over the course of the series, which may have affected their ability to maintain momentum. Key moments, such as Holstein Kiel’s comeback in a 3-2 win at Nuremberg despite being equal in possession, highlight their resilience and tactical adaptability. While specific managerial changes are not detailed in the data, it is plausible that changes in training strategies or team dynamics have influenced Holstein Kiel’s recent advantage, particularly their ability to dominate away games. Overall, this historic performance suggests that Holstein Kiel have a psychological and tactical advantage, but the occasional upsets in Nuremberg indicate that they remain a potential threat when a disciplined game plan is executed.
Expected lineups
Planned Nuremberg lineup
- Formation: 4-3-3
- Players: Jan Reichert (Goalkeeper), Fabio Gruber (Defender), Tim Drexler (Defender), Berkay Yilmaz (Defender), Luka Lochoshvili (Defender), Adam Markhiev (Midfielder), Pape Demba Diop (Midfielder), Finn Becker (Midfielder), Julian Justvan (Forward), Rafael Lubachtta (Forward), Mohamed Ali Zoma (Forward)
Holstein Kiel Expected Lineup
- Formation: 3-4-2-1
- Players: Jonas Krumrey (Goalkeeper), Marco Komenda (Defender), Carl Johansson (Defender), David Zec (Defender), Alexander Bernhardsson (Midfielder), Kasper Davidsen (Midfielder), Magnus Knudsen (Midfielder), John Tolkin (Midfielder), Steven Skrzybski (Attack), Phil Harres (Attacks), A. Kaprálik (Attacks)
