The first test of a three-match series between them New Zealand and In the WestMore cloud cover, fluctuating temperatures and northwesterly winds are expected at Hagley Oval from 2-6 December 2025 in variable weather, with the highest risk of rain forecast on days 1 and 5.
Nz vs wi, test 1: Will the rain play a spoiler?
Through the test window, temperatures are forecast to vary between 8°C and 24°C, humidity 58-73% and winds up to 38 km/h. These factors are expected to contribute to Hagley Oval’s traditionally dominant dominance. With minimum average Test innings predicted, teams dropped on Day 1 may be tempted to exploit the new-ball-friendly conditions first.
Day 1: High chance of rain and cloud cover to hit the opening hour
The opening day, December 2, brings the most unsettled weather conditions of the test. Conditions are forecast to be cloudy with temperatures between 8-18°C, accompanied by strong northwesterly winds that could reach 38 km/h, especially in exposed pockets of the stadium.
25-40% of rain threatens to delay or disrupt the opening session. Forecast models predict 10-20mm of rain, citing the alignment of the downpour during the game, with officials and teams to keep a close eye on it. A heavy 80% cloud cover should make for ideal swing conditions, giving pacers an early advantage, for example Matt Henry. Batters may face a tough test until ground conditions settle down.
Day 2: Expected prognosis with moderate tissue movement
With rain chances dipping to 20-30% on December 3rd, isolated showers may still bring brief interruptions. The temperature rises to 12-20 ° C, and the winds increase to 20 km / h, creating more stable playing conditions than in the 1st.
A partly cloudy afternoon is ideal for extended sessions of play, but hovering bowlers near 70% humidity can help. Seamen from both sides – particularly New Zealand’s attack and West Indies’ Jayden seals – expected to benefit from extended air travel.
Day 3: The best weather window promises a full day of cricket
The third day, December 4, offers the most favorable forecast, with the chance of rain falling below 15%. The temperature reaches 14-22 ° C and the winds become easier, between 15-25 km / h. In partly sunny skies, the teams should enjoy an uninterrupted day – perfect for the scoop as it stabilizes by this stage.
Hagley Oval’s historical data is available on days 3 and 4 with scores of 300, early greens fading and bounces being more predictable over the next few days.
Day 4: Dry, hot and windy conditions set the stage for big scores
December 5 remains dry with negligible rain (<10%) and temperatures of 16-24 °C. North-westerly winds between 20-30 km/h may help the bowlers a little, but the overall conditions give the batters a strong advantage. Partial cloud cover near 50% should keep the pitch lively to prevent imbalance, but allow players to capitalize, especially during their third and fourth shots.
Read: NZ vs Wi 2025 – Pitch report for 1st test, Hagley Oval Stats and notes
Day 5: Rain threatens for a potentially dramatic outcome
The final day on December 6 sees a renewed risk of rain between 30-50%, with temperatures dropping to 10-20°C. Forecasts warn of up to 15mm of rain, which could disrupt the Test’s closing passes. Weather permitting, both teams will be pushing for a result – but early use of covers, morning showers should improve.
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