Designing Rory Mcilroy’s chances for victory in a wild master Sunday

What the wild journey was this masters on Sunday.

It can be cliché to compare a sports event with a rotor – but during the last round of this 89 masters, I felt like that. With birds and bogeys, water balls and epic returns, Sunday at Augusta National was a timer.

Rory Mcilroy eventually prevailed in a play off Justin Rose, But at points during the last round, it didn’t seem to be so. Fortunately for you, golf fans, we can tabulate JUST How likely is Mcilroy to win the green jacket all day, thanks to our friends in Data.

Look below for a summary of the most wild Sunday in the last memory.

1:50 pm (s) – Rose tees off

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -12
Chances to win: 66.6%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T6
Grade: -5
Chances to win: .3%

Although Justin Rose was leader 18 and 36 holes, a 75 Saturday threw him out of the quarrel. As he left to start his last round, Rose was seven blows after Mcilroy’s lead and his chances of winning were below 1 percent. Meanwhile, Mcilroy is a heavy favorite to win at 66.6 percent while preparing for his last round.

2:30 Afternoon – Mcilroy will leave

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -12
Chances to win: 66.6%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T5
Grade: -6
Chances to win: .6%

With a bird at 1 to reach six under, it sometimes raised so little narrows the gap in six while Mcilroy goes to tee. However, the circle in the open does little to strengthen its chances as its probability of seeking victory is still below 1 percent.

2:45 Afternoon – Mcilroy doubles 1 -Th

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -10
Chances to win: 45.1%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T3
Grade: -7
Chances to win: 2.8%

Mcilroy round descends to The worst possible start While he three-point 1 for double, placing a large trace in his chances of victory. Meanwhile, Rose 3rd birds to get into a tie for three third shots back. However, its probability of winning is still minuscule in just less than 3 percent.

3:15 Afternoon – Mcilroy Pars No. 2, loses superiority

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 2
Grade: -10
Chances to win: 36.3%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T5
Grade: -5
Chances to win: .5%

Mcilroy’s promotion in 2 found the fairway bunker and he was unable to take advantage of the note hole as he entered a disappointing precursor. Before, Rose destroyed his beginning with two under the while he cheated no. 4 and 5 to drop back on the same day for the day. At this point, Bryson Dechambeau has the best chance of winning the tour with a stroke on 11 under.

3:30 Afternoon – Mcilroy Birdies no. 3 and 4

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -12
Chances to win: 78%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T5
Grade: -6
Chances to win: .7%

Mcilroy withdraws from its unclear start with birds of birds at no. 3 and 4 to restore full superiority. Rose returns one to 7, but he is not yet considered a serious threat to win the tournament.

4:36 Afternoon – Rose begins his charge

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -12
Chances to win: 71.2%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T2
Grade: -9
Chances to win: 6.2%

Mcilroy once again fails to bird’s para-5 8 while Rose is in the middle of Amen Corner. After making the 11th bird, he rolls to another in the 12th to cut his deficit into only three. His chances of winning the green jacket have improved, but only marginal.

5:12 PM – Mcilroy Birdies of 10th

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -14
Chances to win: 95.3%

Justin Rose
Attitude: 2
Grade: -10
Chances to win: 2.8%

After Mcilroy rolled in a bird’s blow to 10, he seemed as if he had finally defeated the Augusta national demons who had wandered since his fall in 2011. Around the same time, Rose Birds of the 13th (narrowly missing his eagle putt) to take second place alone.

5:42 PM – Mcilroy Doubles 13, Rose Birdies 16

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: T1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 59.8%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 33.9%

Mcilroy rejected the 11th to throw a blow, but coincided with a noise from Rose to 14. And after Mcilroy sailed the 12th successfully, it seemed to be going to a crown. However, an unexplained wedge in the RAE Creek that led to double double threw him two more strokes below the table. While this was happening, Rose was making another charge. After making the 15th birds, he fills his goal in par-3 16 to set a bird to connect the lead. Suddenly, Mcilroy’s chances of winning the green jacket are falling.

5:54 PM – Mcilroy Bogeys No. 14th

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 2
Grade: -10
Chances to win: 29.9%

Justin Rose
Attitude: 1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 51.8%

Things go from evil to the worst for mcilroy as he fails to get up and down to 14 to throw his third blow into two holes. For the first time from the ninth start, he is not the favorite to win.

6:12 PM – Mcilroy Birdies 15, Rose Bogeys 17

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 64.9%

Justin Rose
Attitude: 2
Grade: -10
Chances to win: 17.1%

As it seemed as if the tour was slipping, Mcilroy hits the goal of the tour, connecting a 7-and time around the trees to set a brief eagle look at 15. He is missing on the low side, but at the same time, Rose cannot rise up and down to 17 to fall a stroke.

6:15 Afternoon – Rose Birdies No. 18 to post the club lead

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: T1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 42.2%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 57.7%

Mcilroy lacks an excellent chance in Birdie at 16 and then hits a car that is blocked by the trees on the right side of the 17th Street. Before the 18th green, Rose is poured into a bird blow to post the lead of the club at 11 under.

6:33 PM – Mcilroy Birdies No. 17

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -12
Chances to win: 86.7%

Justin Rose
Attitude: 2
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 13.3%

Mcilroy hits a wonderful wedge that just carries the Greenside bunker by setting a short look at the 17th. The moments later, he calmly rotates in the blow to take a lead with a blow to the 72nd hole.

6:55 Afternoon – Mcilroy Bogeys No. 18 to force Play -off

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: T1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 50%

Justin Rose
Attitude: T1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 50%

Mcilroy finds the right road with his car, but another loose wedge of the right shatters and finds the Greenside bunker. It hits its target shot at about 6 meters, but when the blow just slips to the left side, providing the first Play off on Augusta National since 2017. Both go back to the 18th Tee to start the unexpected off-death Play. (Note: Data golf model does not offer winning options for play off. For the sake of simplicity, we have set the chances at 50/50.)

7:17 Afternoon – Mcilroy Birdies No. 18, finishes Gran Slam career

Rory Mcilroy
Attitude: 1
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 100%

Justin Rose
Attitude: 2
Grade: -11
Chances to win: 0%

After all, Mcilroy is a master champion. After hitting a perfect photo of the 18th photo, he hits a three-quarter-quarter wedge from the slope in the middle of green while his ball is only 3 meters above the cup. Once he goes out for birds, he is kneeling and releases a primary roar. With the victory, he only becomes the sixth golf player who has ever completed the Grand Slam career, and first to realize the feat by Tiger Woods in 2001.