Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Premier League | Predictions | Alignments | Key statistics and betting tips

Prediction – Brighton & Hove Albion 1 – 1 Burnley

Recent form

Heading into their Premier League clash at the American Express Community Stadium, Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley have had contrasting recent performances. Brighton seem to have positive momentum from their last five league games. They have achieved two notable away wins against Arsenal (2-1) and Liverpool (2-0), showing their ability to compete against the best teams. In addition, their results include two draws with West Ham United, both at home (1-1) and away (2-2), and a goalless draw against Sunderland at home. Brighton’s ability to remain unbeaten in these games, especially with two wins on the road, suggests a resilient and competitive form as they approach this fixture. Instead, Burnley’s recent form reveals challenges. In their last five league matches, they have managed just one win, a notable away win against Newcastle United (2-1). However, they have suffered defeats at home to Newcastle (1-3) and Fulham (2-3), along with a draw with Everton (0-0) and another draw away to AFC Bournemouth (1-1). This pattern indicates defensive inconsistency and vulnerabilities, especially conceding multiple goals in two of their home games. Head-to-head record between Brighton and Burnley is not available as it does not provide direct historical context to influence the analysis. However, Brighton appear to be in a stronger position based on recent performances, showing resilience and the ability to secure points against formidable opponents, while Burnley will need to address their inconsistencies to challenge Brighton effectively.

Brighton & Hove Albion last 5 league games

Brighton & Hove Albion have shown a commendable level of resilience and adaptability in their recent Premier League outings. In their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, two draws and no defeats, showing a strong defensive structure and strategic prowess. Their recent 2-2 draw against West Ham United highlighted their ability to dominate possession, keeping 61% of the ball, although they were unable to turn that dominance into a win. The high number of yellow cards (5) in this match suggests a level of aggression which, while useful in disrupting opponents, also indicates the need for discipline to avoid unnecessary suspensions. A significant 1-2 win against Arsenal underlines Brighton’s ability to compete against top teams. Despite having less possession (47%) and fewer corners (2) compared to Arsenal’s 7, Brighton were efficient in their attack, taking advantage of crucial moments to secure victory. This match exemplified his strategic counter-attacking approach, using the midfield effectively to transition from defense to attack seamlessly. The goalless draw against Sunderland, however, highlighted a possible area of ​​concern in their attacking efficiency, with Brighton unable to convert any of their chances despite controlling 57% of possession. This was somewhat mitigated by their defensive solidity, which remained intact, ensuring they did not concede. Their subsequent 2-0 win over Liverpool was a testament to their tactical discipline and ability to execute a game plan effectively, with a slight advantage in possession (51%) and a solid defensive set-up thwarting Liverpool’s attacking threats. In terms of squad composition, the absence of Adam Webster due to a cruciate ligament injury is a setback for Brighton’s defensive line. However, the predicted line-up suggests a balanced team capable of maintaining their recent form. The presence of experienced players such as Lewis Dunk and James Milner add leadership and stability, while younger talents such as Yankuba Minteh and Diego Gomez bring dynamism to the midfield. Danny Welbeck, who leads the attack, will be instrumental in converting the chances created by the midfield. Overall, Brighton are likely to focus on keeping possession and using their defensive organization to control play, while looking for opportunities to strike on the counter.

Burnley Last 5 league games

Burnley’s recent form in the Premier League has been somewhat of a mixed bag, reflecting a balance between resilience and the challenges they face on the pitch. In the last five matches, they have managed one win, two draws and two defeats. Their win came against Newcastle United away from home, a hard-fought 2-1 win despite having just 30% possession, highlighting Burnley’s ability to capitalize on limited opportunities and maintain defensive solidity under pressure. However, their form at home has been less impressive, with a notable 1-3 defeat at Newcastle and a narrow 2-3 defeat at Fulham, pointing to vulnerabilities in their defensive set-up, particularly when facing teams capable of quick transitions. Statistically, Burnley have struggled to keep possession in a number of games, particularly evident in the draw against Bournemouth where they managed just 34% possession. This suggests a tactical approach that relies on counter-attacks rather than sustained pressing, which could be an area of ​​concern for teams adept at controlling midfield. Despite this, they have shown an ability to create chances through set pieces, as indicated by their relatively high corner count, particularly in the Fulham game. Creative play remains an area for improvement, with just two assists recorded in the last five games, highlighting a potential lack of effective link-up play in the final third. The absence of key players such as Axel Tuanzebe, Hannibal and Lyle Foster due to national team duties could affect Burnley’s depth and flexibility, particularly in defensive and midfield roles. Their projected line-up suggests a good defensive setup with the likes of Martin Dúbravka in goal and experienced players like Kyle Walker and Josh Laurent providing stability. The midfield trio of Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino and Lucas Pires will be crucial in both protecting the defense and launching counter-attacks, while forwards Marcus Edwards, Loum Tchaouna and Armando Broja will need to be clinical with the opportunities they get. In short, Burnley’s focus in their next game is likely to be on defensive resilience and seizing counter-attacking opportunities. Although they have shown moments of quality, consistency remains a challenge, especially in maintaining possession and creating clear-cut chances. Their ability to adapt without some of their key players will be a testament to the depth and tactical flexibility of their squad.

Team news and injuries

Brighton & Hove Albion injuries and suspensions

• Adam Webster (cruciate ligament injury)

Burnley injuries and suspensions

• Axel Tuanzebe (Called to the national team) Hannibal (Called to the national team) Lyle Foster (Called to the national team)

Head-to-head (H2H) registration and summary.

H2H Last 5

Detailed H2H analysis

The head-to-head record between Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley reveals intriguing patterns that could influence their upcoming Premier League clash. Historically, Brighton tend to dominate possession in these matches, as evidenced by their possession stats, which often exceed 50%, with some games seeing them control up to 72% of the ball. Despite this dominance of possession, Brighton have struggled to translate it into a clear advantage, with assists and goals not much in their favour. Burnley, on the other hand, have shown resilience, often maintaining a competitive edge in terms of defensive solidity and taking their chances, as seen in their ability to match Brighton at key moments despite lesser possession. This dynamic suggests that while Brighton can control the flow of the game, Burnley are still able to capitalize on any lapses through their effective counter-attacking play. As the two teams prepare for their next meeting, they face unique challenges due to injuries and absences. Brighton’s defense will be without Adam Webster, a crucial component, which could affect their ability to maintain their usual defensive organization against Burnley’s attacking threats. Conversely, Burnley will be missing key players due to national team commitments, including Axel Tuanzebe and Lyle Foster, which could affect their depth and versatility. The expected line-ups indicate that Brighton will rely on a mixture of experienced players such as Lewis Dunk and James Milner, while Burnley will look to the attacking prowess of Marcus Edwards and Armando Broja. The absence of these key players could shift the balance slightly towards Brighton, who will look to capitalize on their possession-based game. However, Burnley’s tactical discipline and ability to capitalize on set pieces and quick transitions can still pose a significant threat. This match promises to be a fascinating tactical battle, with both teams looking to impose their style while making up for their respective absences.

Expected lineups

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Players: Bart Verbruggen (Goalkeeper), Lewis Dunk (Defender), Jan Paul van Hecke (Defender), Ferdi Kadioglu (Defender), Joel Veltman (Defender), Yankuba Minteh (Midfielder), James Milner (Midfielder), Diego Gómez (Midfielder), Yasin Ayari (Midfielder), Danny (Midfielder), Danny Maxim De Cucker (Midfielder).

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Players: Martin Dúbravka (Goalkeeper), Maxime Estève (Defender), Hjalmar Ekdal (Defender), Josh Laurent (Defender), Kyle Walker (Midfielder), Lesley Ugochukwu (Midfielder), Florentino (Midfielder), Lucas Pires (Midfielder), Marcus Edwards (Forward), LouAm Tchao Armando (Forward), LouAm Tchao Armando (Forward)