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Wednesday, February 5, 2025

7 chooses our expert love


Sam Burns of the United States strikes a shot in the 17th hole during the last round of AT&T Pebble Beach pro-am 2025 at Pebble Beach Golf Links on February 2, 2025 in Pebble Beach, California.

Our expert likes Sam Burns’s chances this week.

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Welcome to our weekly PGA Tour Gambling-Tips column, displaying the choice from Golf.com expert Brady Kannon’s prognostic. An experienced golf betting and commentator Kannon is a regular guest in Sportsgrid, a trade union audio network dedicated to sports and sports betting. You can follow on Twitter in @LasvegolferAnd you can read his choices below for WM Phoenix Open, who starts on Thursday at Scottsdale, Ariz. Together with Kannon’s recommended shows, you will also see data from Chirp Golf, a mobile app that contains free golf competitions to play free and everyday where you can make money and prizes with each round and tour.

Tiger’s team beat Rory’s team last time last Monday at TGL. Strict Wins at Pebble Beach on Sunday In his debut in 2025 PGA Tour. now WM Phoenix Open Java is here, taking its usual place as the pre-party money for the big game in Super Sunday. February is at a great start.

Scottie Scheffler made his debut in the 2025 season last week at AT&T Pebble Beach pro-am and to anyone’s surprise, the world No.1 recorded another Top-10th end he made 18 times past.

Kansas City chiefs are trying to “three peat” this year and was Scheffler trying to attract three right wins to WM Phoenix Open last year. He was the favorite of the betting in the game with approximately 6-7 holes left to play in nine interiors on Sunday but eventually was Understood by Nick Taylor. Taylor is a 65-1 long blow to protect his title. Scheffler is ranking in less than 3-1 to catch the crown, trading in the +280 neighborhood. Scheffler is such a favorite favorite, in fact, there are markets “without Scheffler”, which means can bet on everyone else in the field, essentially trying to sit correctly who will end Second this week at TPC Scottsdale. The “tiger -like” dominance continues to appear in many different ways. Like Larry Bird who arrives at a 3 -point shooting competition, asking “Which one of you will end second?” Betting markets seem to be asking us the same question.

No wonder this tournament is so well placed for Scheffler, as it is really the course of a ball striker. Others who rely on this part of their game, Hydeki Matsuyama (twice), Rickie Fowler, Brooks Koepka (twice) and Webb Simpson have won everyone here in the last 10 years. Because it is such a weighted skill located on this golf course, I bowed a lot in the strokes: Access and SG: Ball Strking on my handicap this week. I also looked at SG: OTT, in par 4s measured between 400-500 yards, par 5S, proximity of holes from 150-200 yards, and another main ingredient this week, clashing.


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WM Phoenix Open is a very predictive tour in the sense that the players who have done well here in the past are likely to do so again. It is interesting to note that many of these players who continue to succeed in the TPC Scottsdale, also appear quite little on the charts of managers in my interconnected courses.

Bay Hill is probably my number one. Scheffler has won twice Arnold Palmer Invitational, just as he has won twice at TPC Scottsdale. Other wheres where I see the same groups of skills that are precedencers, the similarities in appearances and the success of the intersection are Royal Troon, last year’s Open Championship House, Olympia Fields, the BMW 2020 and 2023 championship site, Southern Hills, host of 2022 PGA Championship, The Summit Club in Las Vegas, where they played the CJ Cup in 2022, the Nicklaus Tournament Course, which is one of the three courses used in La Quinta, Calif., in American Express, and then Park Memorial, Home to Houston Open since 2020.

As usual, I’m playing these elections for a full win and a Top-20th finish.

Sam Burns (25-1)

Burns started the season with a Top-10 finish in Maui, on its favorite placement surface, Bermudagrass. He was sixth in the field last week at Pebble Beach for SG: OTT and was the 12th in the greens in the regulation, but the area of ​​POA Annua was not clear for his consent. Despite the 22nd end, He ranked 46th in SG: Setting. Here in the desert he returns to the surface of Bermudagrass. Sleeping during this time of year, but does not seem to have worried Burns, who has ended the third and sixth here on his last two trips. During the last 36 rounds, it ranks fourth in this field for SG: Bermudagrass. It is also the 15th in scrambling and the 10th in the yard 400-450 par 4s. Burns has ended ninth in the past in Bay Hill, 15 at Olympia Fields, 20 in Southern Hills, seventh in Summit Club, and seventh twice at Houston Open in Memorial Park.

Matt Fitzpatrick (60-1)

This is certainly a horse for choosing the course and not necessarily based on the current form. Fitzpatrick has not recorded a Top-10 finish since last June and has fallen out of the best 50 in Owgr, but he has played very well here in Scottsdale and in interconnected courses-and he fits my profile this week of a ball striker who carries a hot holder. He has been here three times and ended 15-29-10. In Bay Hill, he ended up in 14th and ninth in the past, the sixth and the contestant at Olympia Fields, the fifth in Southern Hills, and the 13th in Summit Club. He knows clearly how to win at the largest stages. If he appears here again this week, like the one in the past, he will have a chance, and at 60-1 or better, I feel like this is a good game.

JT Poston (66-1)

Another excellent Bermudagrass (I 10th in this field for the last 36 rounds) and the proven winner who has played well on the TPC Scottsdale in the past. Poston has completed 11-26-23 here on preliminary trips and recorded Top-25 conclusions in both Olympia and Memorial Park fields. Posts are ranked within the best 50 in this field for SG: OTT and in the first 25 places in par 4s measuring 400-500 yards during the last 36 rounds. It opened with a round of 62 in the Nicklaus tournament in the American Express last month and closed last season in a heater, winning in Las Vegas, followed by a fifth place in the RSM Classic in the end of November. I believe the actual and course shape are both in the game for poston.

Billy Horschel survived a three -way fiction Play with Rory Mcilroy and Thriston Lawrence to catch the PGA BMW 2024 championship
Billy Horschel in the PGA BMW 2024 championship.

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Billy Horschel (80-1)

I like this number very much in Horschel after seeing many stores that get closer to 60 or 70-1. Remember to always buy for the best price. Last year was an great for Florida Gator and Bermudagrass specialist (third in the field for the last 36 rounds). He had seven Top-10 conclusions including a win and a championship championship at Royal Troon, one of our interconnected courses this week. He was 11-6-9 at TPC Scottsdale, 20-13-2 in Bay Hill, seventh in Summit Club and seventh in the Houston Memorial Park. It comes out of a ninth place end last week in Pebble Beach, where it was ranked third in the field for SG: Access. Another perfect ball striker who can decide and has very positive course history.

Tom Hoge (80-1)

Sounds familiar – another ball attacker that can hit? Yes, this also suits Mr. Hoge’s profile. Hoge was the fourth on the tournament last season for SG: Access. During the last 36 rounds, he is 35th in this field for SG: Bermudagrass) and 16 for SG: Access. He was eighth in January in Sentry and emerges from a top-20th conclusion last week at Pebble Beach, where he was 14th in the field with Afrim and was second in the accuracy of the direction. He has numerous Top-15 and Top-25 conclusions here in Phoenix and in interconnected courses, including a ninth place finish in Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship. I feel like the price is right and you can probably find a little better.

Gary Woodland (100-1)

Now for triple digit bombs. Woodland is at a strong start this season with a 16th in Sony Open and a 22nd place last week-and he won here at TPC Scottsdale in 2018 open with the premier ball hit, and in His last five starts, Woodland has won a field shot in the field with Putter. Eleven are wild like Woodland, during the last 36 rounds, ranked 11th in this field for SG: Ball Starching, 11th for the proximity of holes from 175-200 yards, and 11th in par 5s with size 550-600 yards. If the putter remains in good shape, the history of the course in Phoenix can be repeated once again.

Taylor Moore (100-1)

If anything, we are stable as Moore suits the ball striker who can hit, mold. During the last 36 rounds, it ranks sixth in this field for SG: Bermudagrass. Moore is two-to-two in the cuts made here in Phoenix with a 14th place finished here in 2023. He is three-three in the cuttings made in Bay Hill and finished the race in Memorial Park in Houston season past. The current form also looks good with a stature in American Express last month and a 22 in Pebble Beach last week.





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